January is in the books and for most people in markets it was a difficult month. Economic sentiment and data does not respect calendar barriers and although today is the first day of a new month the stories governing the ebb and flow of the world of currencies are still the same.
As always, we start the month with a look at the global manufacturing sector, with PMIs released regularly through the day. China’s numbers were always going to be the most closely watched overnight, with both the official and unofficial Caixin number showing that the Chinese manufacturing once again contracted. That deterioration is the sixth month in a row – the worst on record.
We have to ask if there is any surprise to these numbers and the reaction has been relatively muted; the yuan has been guided lower this morning with AUD and CAD also drifting weaker through the Asian session.